
Wall Street has issued downbeat forecasts for the stocks in this article. These predictions are rare - financial institutions typically hesitate to say bad things about a company because it can jeopardize their other revenue-generating business lines like M&A advisory.
Whatever the consensus opinion may be, our team at StockStory cuts through the noise by conducting independent analysis to determine a company’s long-term prospects. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks facing legitimate challenges and some alternatives worth exploring instead.
Edgewell Personal Care (EPC)
Consensus Price Target: $24.17 (3.2% implied return)
Boasting brands such as Banana Boat, Schick, and Skintimate, Edgewell Personal Care (NYSE:EPC) sells personal care products in the skin and sun care, shave, and feminine care categories.
Why Do We Think EPC Will Underperform?
- Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
- Overall productivity fell over the last year as its plummeting sales were accompanied by a decline in its operating margin
- 6× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio makes lenders less willing to extend additional capital, potentially necessitating dilutive equity offerings
Edgewell Personal Care is trading at $23.41 per share, or 11.3x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with EPC, check out our full research report (it’s free).
Caleres (CAL)
Consensus Price Target: $15 (10.8% implied return)
The owner of Dr. Scholl's, Caleres (NYSE:CAL) is a footwear company offering a range of styles.
Why Are We Out on CAL?
- Sales trends were unexciting over the last five years as its 5.4% annual growth was below the typical consumer discretionary company
- Waning returns on capital from an already weak starting point displays the inefficacy of management’s past and current investment decisions
- 8× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio shows it’s overleveraged and increases the probability of shareholder dilution if things turn unexpectedly
At $13.54 per share, Caleres trades at 8.8x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why CAL doesn’t pass our bar.
WSFS Financial (WSFS)
Consensus Price Target: $75.08 (5.2% implied return)
Founded in 1832 as Wilmington Savings Fund Society and one of the oldest banks in America still operating under its original name, WSFS Financial (NASDAQ:WSFS) operates a community banking and wealth management franchise primarily serving customers in the Mid-Atlantic region through its main subsidiary, WSFS Bank.
Why Do We Think Twice About WSFS?
- Annual net interest income growth of 9.7% over the last five years was below our standards for the banking sector
- Estimated net interest income growth of 2.6% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its five-year trend
- Net interest margin shrank by 14.5 basis points (100 basis points = 1 percentage point) over the last two years, suggesting the profitability of its loan book is decreasing or the market is becoming more competitive
WSFS Financial’s stock price of $71.37 implies a valuation ratio of 1.3x forward P/B. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than WSFS.
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